The Portal is Open. And Broken
With the portal open, roster management has become an experiment in controlled chaos. By the end of the first day, more than 4,500 D1 football players had entered. Coaches are not scouting so much as sorting. Agents are furiously texting with administrators, trying to find homes for their players. Meanwhile, the NCAA pretends everything is fine, mostly because nobody has a better answer.
The real issue is no longer freedom of movement. Now its sheer volume with no context. When thousands of names flood the market at once, evaluation windows shrink to minutes. Programs are not looking for upside projects or long explanations. They want plug and play. They want to know if you can play now, stay eligible, and can you explain your situation in two sentences or less. If your film is scattered, your academic status is shaky, or your expectations sound like a wish list, you’re way behind.
There is also the risk no one wants to talk about. Entering the portal does not guarantee an offer. In recent cycles, roughly 30 percent of D1 athletes who enter the portal did not find a new home by the end of the window. Based on that data, up to 1300 athletes fail to find a new offer. So players who wanted to “explore options” are rapidly learning that in the end, they may have none. Some will return to their original program with substantially reduced leverage. Others may scramble for lower-level opportunities. There is even the risk that your roster spot might get filled, and you have no place to go back to.
So if you enter the portal, remember that interest is cheap. A rush of messages is not leverage. A written offer with a defined role, real terms, and clear timing is what you are looking for. Players who succeed in the portal enter it prepared, realistic, and organized. They have a strategy, where they are willing to go, what their NIL looks like today, and what compromises they are unwilling to make. The portal may be open, but it’s broken in a way that rewards clarity and punishes those who panic.
You’re Changing Programs. What to Know Before You Sign
Changing schools feels like momentum. New locker room, new opportunity, new promises sliding into your inbox with just enough detail to sound serious. This is usually the moment when athletes stop reading closely, because it feels like the hard part is over. It is not. It is the part where mistakes get expensive.
NIL contracts tied to a transfer are often written fast and framed as favors. A collective wants to lock you in. A brand wants certainty before spring ball. The language sounds friendly until you realize friendly contracts still bind you to very specific obligations. Before you sign anything, you need to know exactly what you are required to do, how often, and for how long. “Reasonable appearances” and “content as requested” are not flexible phrases. They are blank checks once the season starts and your schedule fills up.
Pay attention to how and when you are paid. Some deals look generous until you notice payment is tied to appearances that can be canceled by injury, depth chart changes, or coaching decisions you do not control. Others stretch payments over months you may not even be on campus anymore. If the contract does not survive a transfer, an injury, or a redshirt season, it is not protecting you.
Exclusivity clauses deserve special scrutiny. A deal connected to your new school can quietly block you from entire categories of future sponsors, even if the collective or brand never activates you again. That is how athletes end up locked out of their best NIL lane by a deal they barely used. Also check who owns your content and how long they can reuse it. “In perpetuity” means long after you have moved on.
Most importantly, understand that not every deal will be approved, honored, or enforced the way it is pitched. Recent reviews have already flagged hundreds of NIL agreements for lacking real business purpose or market value. A rushed signature does not create security. It creates exposure.
What has changed recently is how aggressively schools are protecting themselves when athletes leave early. Multi-year NIL and revenue-sharing agreements are no longer handshake adjacent. Schools are increasingly inserting repayment language, buyout provisions, and breach clauses that survive a transfer. When an athlete signs one of these agreements and then enters the portal, some institutions are now asserting that the athlete owes money back, violated contractual obligations, or triggered financial penalties tied to early departure.
In practice, that can mean a school sending a formal notice of breach, demanding repayment of funds already received, or threatening litigation if the athlete does not comply. These agreements often include cure periods and dispute resolution steps, but the direction is clear. Schools are treating these contracts like real business arrangements, not recruiting tools. The legal argument is simple. If compensation was paid in exchange for continued representation, participation, or availability, leaving early can be framed as failing to deliver the value that justified the payment.
For athletes, the takeaway is uncomfortable but necessary. Signing a multi-year deal while changing schools is not just about upside. It creates downside risk that can follow you to your next stop. If your contract includes repayment language, buyouts, or obligations that extend beyond your stay on campus, transferring can turn into a legal and financial problem instead of a fresh start.
Changing schools is a reset. Treat the paperwork like it matters, because it does. If the agreement you are signing can outlast your locker, your schedule, or your depth chart spot, you need to understand exactly what happens when you leave. Contracts are not about trust. They are about what happens when things change.
The Slow Season is Real. And It’s an Opportunity
The slow season is not a myth, and it is not about sports disappearing. It is the gap from January to March when the pro sports calendar thins out just enough to create breathing room. The NFL is finished. The NBA and NHL are grinding through the middle of their schedules with fewer national storylines. Baseball is still stretching. Outside of a few tentpole moments, there are fewer must watch events filling the airwaves, timelines, and brand budgets. For marketers, that gap matters. Attention is still there, but it is cheaper, more flexible, and more open to new faces.
This is when brands start planning instead of reacting. Campaigns for spring, summer, and even the following academic year are being built now. That planning phase is where college athletes can matter, because brands are not chasing last night’s highlights. They are looking for consistency, reliability, and storytelling that lasts longer than a single weekend. A college athlete who can show up weekly with clean content, a defined audience, and a clear niche is suddenly more useful than a pro whose rate card assumes playoff relevance.
For college athletes, especially those not in football or basketball, this window is a rare leveling moment. Olympic sport athletes are in season or approaching peak competition, while pro sports are coasting. Track, gymnastics, swimming, wrestling, volleyball, and soccer athletes are training, competing, traveling, and living the routines brands love because they look real. These sports also align naturally with categories that keep spending year round, like fitness, wellness, apparel, nutrition, recovery, and youth sports.
The Olympics change the definition of the slow season. In February, the attention that usually scatters locks onto one global event built entirely around Olympic sports. Networks, brands, and advertisers shift from chasing spectacle to telling stories about preparation, discipline, and identity. That tone favors athletes who are actively training and competing, not just posting highlights after a win. For college Olympic sport athletes, the timing is almost unfair in the best possible way.
While pro leagues are managing load and waiting for April, Olympic narratives are accelerating. Brands building Olympic-adjacent campaigns need athletes who look, train, and compete like the stories they are telling on television. College athletes already fit that mold. You are not competing with a Super Bowl ad buy or a playoff push. You are reinforcing the same themes the Olympics are selling, and you can do it from your campus gym, pool, or track.
This is where content matters, because the wrong content wastes the moment. February is not the time to chase trends. It is time to document the process. Training days, recovery routines, early mornings, travel days, and the unglamorous parts of competition are exactly what Olympic coverage is built on. Short-form video that shows repetition, discipline, and routine works better now than edited hype. A weekly rhythm beats a viral reach.
Athletes who win this window also explain what the audience is watching. Break down your event, your scoring, your preparation, and your mental approach in simple language. The Olympics bring in casual fans who want context, not jargon. If your content helps them understand what they are seeing on TV, you become part of the conversation instead of background noise.
The slow season only exists if you wait for someone else to create the moment. From January through March, and especially with the Olympics dominating February, college athletes in Olympic sports can turn training into storytelling, routine into relevance, and consistency into NIL value. That does not happen by accident. It happens by showing up on purpose, every week, when the calendar finally gives you room to breathe.
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In Case You Missed It
A growing number of athletic departments are quietly reducing the size of recruiting classes in non-revenue sports as schools prepare for direct athlete compensation models, creating tighter roster math across multiple conferences.
Conference offices are beginning to standardize NIL education and contract review resources for member schools, an early step toward reducing compliance risk as enforcement and deal scrutiny increase across the sport.
Media rights partners are pushing for more behind-the-scenes college sports content tied to digital subscriptions, opening the door for athlete-led storytelling and NIL opportunities that do not rely on traditional endorsements.
Clear as Mud. Litigation and Legislation Update
If you are waiting for NIL rules to settle down, pour another cup of coffee. The legal and legislative landscape is still moving in multiple directions at once, and none of them are labeled clearly. Lawsuits are stacking up, proposed bills are circling Congress, and the newest enforcement body is already telling everyone that a lot of deals being signed were never going to pass muster in the first place.
The clearest signal so far came from the College Sports Commission, which said it has rejected hundreds of NIL agreements while approving the vast majority that were properly structured. More than 500 deals, representing roughly $15 million in proposed compensation, were turned down for reasons that matter to athletes. The issues were not technicalities. The CSC cited lack of a legitimate business purpose, compensation that did not align with market value, and arrangements that looked more like pay-for-play than NIL. In plain terms, a deal can sound great, look impressive in a screenshot, and still be dead on arrival once someone serious reviews it.
That matters because enforcement is no longer theoretical. The CSC exists because of the House v. NCAA settlement, which reshaped the system and introduced real oversight into a space that had been running on vibes and invoices. Deals now face scrutiny before they are cleared, not after something goes wrong. For athletes, that means the risk is no longer just whether a brand pays you. It is whether the deal itself creates eligibility, repayment, or compliance problems down the line.
Meanwhile, Congress is doing what Congress does best, which is debating whether to simplify things while making them more complicated. The SCORE Act, backed by the NCAA and publicly supported by the White House and the U.S. Olympic and Paralympic Committee, aims to create a national NIL standard and limit the patchwork of state laws. Supporters argue it would bring clarity and stability. Critics argue it would weaken athlete protections, limit legal options, and tilt power back toward institutions. That disagreement is why momentum keeps stalling. Everyone agrees the system is broken. No one agrees on who should fix it.
Litigation is filling the gaps left by legislation. Former athletes are suing schools over alleged unauthorized NIL use from years ago. Current players are pushing back on contracts, collectives, and enforcement decisions. Schools are preparing to defend multi-year agreements as binding business contracts rather than recruiting tools. The result is a sport arguing about the future while actively fighting over the past, often in the same courtroom.
For athletes, the takeaway is uncomfortable but important. The rules are clearer than they were, but they are not settled. Oversight is real, but consistency is not guaranteed. A deal being offered is not the same as a deal being approved, and a rule being proposed is not the same as a rule being law. Until something truly uniform exists, the NIL environment will remain exactly what it feels like right now. Clear as mud.
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